These revisions replicate a improve inside the company’s methodology for projecting long-term interest rates during the in the vicinity of phrase. The brand new methodology far better displays the historic interactions in between the interest rates on long-term and short-expression Treasury securities.
Select the highest three queries and respond to them inside a YouTube video with examples and scenarios to make it interactive. That is how Grace did it, and also got 161K views within the video.
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1 From the company’s projections, All those tighter standards—put together with larger interest rates—discourage expending on goods more than the next two years. In 2025, real paying on goods starts to increase yet again.
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Disinflation refers to slower price increases, which is in line with the gradually slipping inflation we’re viewing.
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Troubles from the global offer chains have also helped to drop the price of each day products. Gas prices also tumbled globally (though in the US, they’ve since started to climb yet again).
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Labor market ailments are predicted to slacken in the second half of 2023. In CBO’s projections, through the end of 2024, the growth of employment wanes, the unemployment rate rises, the labor pressure participation rate declines, and the growth of wages and salaries slows.
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